679 OPS, and for every season before 2019, he had no better than a. 892 OPS in 2019 outshining even last year's. Two of the past three years have been good enough to earn him a top-three finish in AL MVP voting, his. And then there's the matter of track record. 453 xSLG paling in comparison to his actual. Statcast marked him as one of the biggest overachievers, his. The chances of Semien living up to a season that saw him set a record for home runs by (primarily) a second baseman were always slim. No, my goal here is to identify players with true bottom-out potential so that you can avoid a potential land mine on Draft Day. For that, you can check out my 11 overrated players by ADP. Before we get to him, though, let me remind you that my goal here isn't just to highlight ADP inefficiencies. So they're out, but one other big name is in. He wound up in Philadelphia instead, which is on the same end of the pitcher/hitter spectrum as Cincinnati. Nick Castellanos seemed like a player whose numbers could suffer in a bigger ballpark than the one he's called home the past two years, which was especially concerning amid rumors of him coming to Miami. Kris Bryant's subpar exit velocities seemed worrisome in a post-juiced ball world, but the point is moot now that he'll playing half his games at Coors Field. Some of the arguments I made against certain players in previous versions have already collapsed just by virtue of free agency coming to completion. I'll admit that this final version of my Busts is more about eliminating candidates than uncovering more.
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